Exceptional analysis of the sequencing issue here. The detail on Point 16 about Black Sea freedom of navigation is crucial but kinda underplayed in most coverage I've seen, when it's actualy one of the more operationally critical elements for Ukranian sovereignty going forward. The referendum gambit is clever but risky because it buys time while exposing just how unrealistic this 'easy deal' framing really is. The voting eligibility question alone could take months to resolve.
An excellent and detailed account that clarifies the current negotiating positions. Russia, of course, will never agree and so must see its industrial/military base steadily eroded, despite superior numbers on the battlefield. Like all bullies, Putin believes in superior force until the end, distorting his views until his interpretation of the state of his military and civil infrastructure is no longer tenable. Despite mental and physical exhaustion, Ukraine will fight on to avoid the loss of its sovereignty and will never surrender to certain death or slavery. Putin must be defeated, and his ability to wage war must be destroyed, in order for Ukraine and democracy to survive.
Excellent. Could you do some reporting on potential opposition parties in Ukraine? In other interviews I've seen/listened with Michael, you mention the Azov Corps. Can you talk more about that- the role of domestic Ukrainian politics in the war? (And, why does UA need to have an election and Russia not?) Also, I've been seeing a bit of reporting on the other republics w/in the Russian Federation that might possibly be agitating for independence. Do you have a sense of this?
We also understand that Moscow was never going to be satisfied by the 28-point plan, because it still to small, but the fortress belt falling down to Moscow would be a large victory in his war. Moscow would immediately attack farther after occupying the Slovyansk and Kramatorsk.
Exceptional analysis of the sequencing issue here. The detail on Point 16 about Black Sea freedom of navigation is crucial but kinda underplayed in most coverage I've seen, when it's actualy one of the more operationally critical elements for Ukranian sovereignty going forward. The referendum gambit is clever but risky because it buys time while exposing just how unrealistic this 'easy deal' framing really is. The voting eligibility question alone could take months to resolve.
An excellent and detailed account that clarifies the current negotiating positions. Russia, of course, will never agree and so must see its industrial/military base steadily eroded, despite superior numbers on the battlefield. Like all bullies, Putin believes in superior force until the end, distorting his views until his interpretation of the state of his military and civil infrastructure is no longer tenable. Despite mental and physical exhaustion, Ukraine will fight on to avoid the loss of its sovereignty and will never surrender to certain death or slavery. Putin must be defeated, and his ability to wage war must be destroyed, in order for Ukraine and democracy to survive.
Excellent. Could you do some reporting on potential opposition parties in Ukraine? In other interviews I've seen/listened with Michael, you mention the Azov Corps. Can you talk more about that- the role of domestic Ukrainian politics in the war? (And, why does UA need to have an election and Russia not?) Also, I've been seeing a bit of reporting on the other republics w/in the Russian Federation that might possibly be agitating for independence. Do you have a sense of this?
Awesom, and I learned a new word
So well written! I feel I understand things a lot better now. Thank you for your clarity and very clear explanations.
We also understand that Moscow was never going to be satisfied by the 28-point plan, because it still to small, but the fortress belt falling down to Moscow would be a large victory in his war. Moscow would immediately attack farther after occupying the Slovyansk and Kramatorsk.